Peterson: After Chaos Saturday, it's time to reshuffle my Big 12 preseason predictions

With Iowa State joining four other Big 12 Conference football teams in a well-deserved Saturday away from everyone beating up on each other except Baylor, let’s reshuffle. Last week’s chaos threw a wrench into all predictions.

Not only that, but Baylor is a surprise, as is Kansas State in its first year under new coach Chris Klieman. Texas is a bit of an under-achieving headscratcher, too, given its 10-point loss against TCU, and hanging 50 points in just a two-point victory against Kansas.

So, with about half or less of the season remaining ...

It’s time for a do-over

IOWA STATE

Predicted records: 6-3 in the Big 12, 9-3 overall

Current record: 3-2, 5-3

Down-the-stretch prediction (3-1): Loss at Oklahoma, wins at Jack Trice Stadium against Texas and Kansas, and a regular-season finale victory at Kansas State.

Do-over prediction: 6-3, 8-4

BAYLOR

Predicted records: 5-4, 7-5

Current record: 4-0, 7-0

Down-the-stretch prediction (3-1): Victory at home against West Virginia, win at TCU, home loss against Oklahoma, victory at home against Texas and road win against Kansas.

Do-over prediction: 8-1, 11-1

KANSAS

Predicted records: 1-8, 3-9

Current record: 1-4, 3-5

Down-the-stretch prediction (0-4): Home loss against Kansas State, losses at Oklahoma State and at Iowa State, home loss against Baylor.

Do-over prediction: 1-8, 3-9

KANSAS STATE

Predicted records: 2-7, 4-8

Current record: 2-2, 5-2

Down-the-stretch prediction (3-2): Win at Kansas, loss at Texas, home win against West Virginia, win at Texas Tech, home loss against Iowa State.

Do-over prediction: 5-4, 8-4

OKLAHOMA

Predicted records: 8-1, 10-2

Current record: 4-1, 7-1

Down-the-stretch prediction (4-0): Win at home against Iowa State, win at Baylor, home victory against TCU, road win at Oklahoma State.

Do-over prediction: 8-1, 11-1

OKLAHOMA STATE

Predicted records: 5-4 8-4

Current record: 2-3, 5-3

Down-the-stretch prediction (3-1): Victories at home against TCU and Kansas, road win at West Virginia, and then a home loss against Oklahoma.

Do-over prediction: 5-4, 8-4

TCU

Predicted records: 5-4, 7-5

Current record: 2-2, 4-3

Down-the-stretch prediction (2-3): Loss at Oklahoma State, home loss against Baylor, victory at Texas Tech, loss at Oklahoma, win at home against West Virginia.

Do-over prediction: 4-5, 6-6

TEXAS

Predicted records: 8-1, 11-1

Current records: 3-2, 5-3

Down-the-stretch prediction (2-2): Win at Kansas State, losses at Iowa State and at Baylor, win at home against Texas Tech.

Do-over prediction: 5-4, 7-5

TEXAS TECH

Predicted records: 2-7, 4-8

Current records: 1-4, 3-5

Down-the-stretch prediction (1-3): Victory at West Virginia, home losses against TCU and Kansas State, loss at Texas.

Do-over prediction: 2-7, 4-8

WEST VIRGINIA

Predicted records: 3-6, 4-8

Current records: 1-3, 3-4

Down-the-stretch prediction (0-5): Loss at Baylor, home loss against Texas Tech, loss at Kansas State, home loss against Oklahoma State, loss at TCU.

Do-over prediction: 1-8, 3-9

SATURDAY’S BIG 12 PREDICTIONS

KANSAS STATE (5-2, 2-2) at KANSAS (1-4, 3-5)

Time, TV: 2:30 p.m., on FS1

Vegas line: Kansas State by 6 points

Prediction: Kansas is playing well, especially since Brent Dearmon took over an offense that totaled 1,096 yards the past two games. That’s more in two games than the 936 yards for which the Jayhawks combined against in consecutive games against West Virginia, TCU and Oklahoma. The question is how does that offense get onto the field against an opponent that’s hanging its helmet on time of possession? Kansas State is fifth nationally in this statistic, averaging just more than 34 minutes. Against Oklahoma last Saturday, the Wildcats won the minutes department by an eye-popping 38-22.

Score: Kansas State 27, Kansas 24

TCU (2-2, 4-3) at OKLAHOMA STATE (2-3, 5-3)

Time, TV: 2:30 p.m., on ESPN

Vegas line: Oklahoma State by 3 points

Prediction: TCU’s defense statistically is the best in the Big 12, a fact that’s buoyed by the Horned Frogs’ offense owning the ball nearly 34 minutes a game. TCU’s defense, however, has flaws. Iowa State rang up 436 yards in its 49-24 victory, 102 of that coming from Brock Purdy’s 12 rushes. Oklahoma State has a 1-2 punch of quarterback Spencer Sanders and running back Chuba Hubbard. Sometimes teams can slow down one of them, but rarely both in the same game.

Score: Oklahoma State 27, TCU 24

Iowa State columnist Randy Peterson has been writing for the Des Moines Register for parts of five decades. Reach him at rpeterson@dmreg.com, 515-284-8132, and on Twitter at @RandyPete. No one covers the Cyclones like the Register. Subscribe today at Des Moines Register.com/Deal to make sure you never miss a moment.